MCCAIN IS GOING TO WIN!!! (New IBD/TIPP poll) Make Calls, Get out and Vote
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There have been lots of dour headlines, so I thought I'd make mine as positive as possible! Now that I've got your attention, this is really, really good news for McCain:
Quote:
Day 21: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll
The race tightened again Sunday as independents who'd been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.
IBD/TIPP Election '08 Daily Tracking Poll
Quote:
ate McCain Obama Not Sure Spread Details
11/2 44.6% 46.7% 8.7% Obama +2.1
A couple things to note:
1. Weekends are always bad for Republicans in terms of polling, especially this weekend with Halloween and soccer play-offs so families aren't home to answer the phone.
2. Independents are breaking big for McCain.
3. Throw out the Gallup poll results and don't let yourself become depressed over them. The IBD/TIPP poll came very close to calling the race perfectly in 2004.
4. Be happy about this but don't become complacent!!
Okay... Just for fun, I re-weighted the Dem/Rep/Ind ratio to the actual voter turnout in 2004 of Dems 37%, Reps 37%, Inds 26%...
DRUMROLL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
McCain 47.59%
Obama 44.48%
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
There have been lots of dour headlines, so I thought I'd make mine as positive as possible! Now that I've got your attention, this is really, really good news for McCain:
Quote:
Day 21: IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll
The race tightened again Sunday as independents who'd been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.
IBD/TIPP Election '08 Daily Tracking Poll
Quote:
ate McCain Obama Not Sure Spread Details
11/2 44.6% 46.7% 8.7% Obama +2.1
A couple things to note:
1. Weekends are always bad for Republicans in terms of polling, especially this weekend with Halloween and soccer play-offs so families aren't home to answer the phone.
2. Independents are breaking big for McCain.
3. Throw out the Gallup poll results and don't let yourself become depressed over them. The IBD/TIPP poll came very close to calling the race perfectly in 2004.
4. Be happy about this but don't become complacent!!
Okay... Just for fun, I re-weighted the Dem/Rep/Ind ratio to the actual voter turnout in 2004 of Dems 37%, Reps 37%, Inds 26%...
DRUMROLL!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
McCain 47.59%
Obama 44.48%
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