The Golden Globe Awards are this Sunday night, and even though they're kind of silly and spend way too much time foisting awards on some medium they call "the television," they're still a nice little warm-up for the Oscars. (Which we all take seriously even though it is, in fact, also an awards show.) There are 12 movie categories. We're here to predict them all.
Our predicted winners are in italics.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture
Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
Michael Douglas, "Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps"
Andrew Garfield, "The Social Network"
Jeremy Renner, "The Town"
Geoffrey Rush, "The King's Speech"

Of all the categories Sunday night, this one is the most clear-cut: Bale's going to win for his portrait of scrawny junkie Dicky Eklund. This is not particularly up for debate. Only Rush has a chance to upset him, and that's an infinitesimal chance.

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture
Amy Adams, "The Fighter"
Helena Bonham Carter, "The King's Speech"
Mila Kunis, "Black Swan"
Melissa Leo, "The Fighter"
Jacki Weaver, "Animal Kingdom"


Probably the most difficult of any category to pick, considering any of the five could credibly win. So, process of elimination! Kunis is well-liked in the film, but her role is a little too small. (Also, it's possible her character doesn't exist.) Weaver is the critics' darling, but few people have seen her movie, particularly those in the Hollywood Foreign Press. That leaves Adams, Carter and Leo. We think Carter has the thinnest role -- she disappears for large chunks of the film, and she isn't written as much more than "supportive wife" -- but the more we think about it, the more we think she's going to win. "The King's Speech" received more Golden Globe nominations than any other film, Leo and Adams may split the vote and she's a well-liked actress who has never won anything major before. We're less certain about this prediction than any other on the board, but we're going with Carter.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Comedy
Johnny Depp, "Alice in Wonderland"
Johnny Depp, "The Tourist"
Paul Giamatti, "Barney's Version"
Jake Gyllenhaal, "Love and Other Drugs"
Kevin Spacey, "Casino Jack"


It's difficult to make a better case against the Golden Globes than looking at this category, which is hopelessly shallow. None of these even have a chance at an Oscar nomination, and you can make a strong argument that Depp's two nominations are for the two films for which he has received the worst reviews of his career. The only real "respectable" choice is Giamatti, but that's a tiny Canadian movie no one has seen. If "Love and Other Drugs" hadn't been so critically panned, Gyllenhaal might have had a chance. We can't believe we're doing this, but we're going with Depp, for "Alice in Wonderland," just because it was the second-biggest movie of the year, and someone has to win.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Comedy
Anne Hathaway, "Love and Other Drugs"
Julianne Moore, "The Kids Are All Right"
Annette Bening, "The Kids Are All Right"
Emma Stone, "Easy A"
Angelina Jolie, "The Tourist"


The Jolie-"Tourist" nomination was such a joke even Jolie laughed. This is another easy pick: Annette Bening will be one of the top contenders for Best Actress, and she has a meatier, more well-regarded part than Moore does in the same film. (Many have argued that Moore should have been pushed by the studio in the Supporting Actress category, to give her a better chance at winning and to assure she doesn't split the vote with Bening. Didn't happen, though.) This one's an easy Bening win.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture, Drama
Jesse Eisenberg, "The Social Network"
Colin Firth, "The King's Speech"
James Franco, "127 Hours"
Ryan Gosling, "Blue Valentine"
Mark Wahlberg, "The Fighter"


The Globes' shocking omission of Jeff Bridges in this category makes it a little easier to forecast. Gosling and Wahlberg are good, but not good enough in a tough race. Eisenberg's role almost isn't showy enough. There's a chance that Franco shines enough star wattage to impress the Foreign Press, but many felt Firth should have won last year for "A Single Man," and he plays a man with a speech impediment in the film with the most nominations. This one's his to lose.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture, Drama
Halle Berry, "Frankie and Alice"
Nicole Kidman, "Rabbit Hole"
Jennifer Lawrence, "Winter's Bone"
Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Michelle Williams, "Blue Valentine"


How Berry sneaked in this category is beyond comprehension. There has been a recent groundswell of support for Kidman's raw performance in "Rabbit Hole," but let's not kid ourselves here: It's a Natalie Portman year. (Let us know when "Saturday Night Live" does a sketch about "Rabbit Hole.") Plus, jeez, she's pregnant. Portman will make the first of several acceptance speeches over the next two months.

Best Director -- Motion Picture
Darren Aronofsky, "Black Swan"
David Fincher, "The Social Network"
Tom Hooper, "The King's Speech"
Christopher Nolan, "Inception"
David O. Russell, "The Fighter"


Even though some still think of "The Social Network" as Aaron Sorkin's film, none of it works without Fincher, a director so respected he earned a bunch of nominations for a film that no one actually liked ("The Curious Case Of Benjamin Button"). Now they'll have an opportunity to honor him for one that everyone did.

Best Motion Picture, Comedy or Musical
"Alice in Wonderland"
"Burlesque"
"The Kids Are All Right"
"Red"
"The Tourist"

"The Kids Are All Right" is the only movie that could win here that would not be a massive humilation for the Golden Globes. That fact alone almost makes us nervous about picking it.

Best Motion Picture, Drama
"Black Swan"
"The Fighter"
"Inception"
"The King's Speech"
"The Social Network"

For months, the debate about whether "The Social Network" is the Oscar frontrunner or whether "The King's Speech" is has raged, and we'll know what the clear leader is after Sunday. As much as "The King's Speech" is a crowd-pleaser, "The Social Network" has everything: a Zeitgeist-capturing premise, all the critics' awards, surprising box office success, a recent DVD release to keep it in the news and every ounce of momentum. We don't think anything's stopping it.

Best Screenplay -- Motion Picture
"127 Hours"
"The Kids Are All Right"
"The King's Speech"
"The Social Network"
"Inception"

Ordinarily, the screenplay category -- the only movie category at the Globes that includes both drama and comedy/musical films -- is a way to separate contenders from "movies that were just nominated because it's the Golden Globes." But even if "The Social Network" is shut out of every other category, Aaron Sorkin is winning this year. We can guarantee you we will hate his speech.

Best Animated Feature Film
"Despicable Me"
"How to Train Your Dragon"
"The Illusionist"
"Toy Story 3"
"Tangled"

Even though "Toy Story" was nominated for Best Musical/Comedy in 1995, and "Toy Story 2" won the award in 1999, "Toy Story 3" is ineligible, as all animated films have been since the institution of the Animated Feature category in 2007. It's a shame, because even though it's the best-reviewed film of the year, no one is taking it seriously as a Best Picture contender. (At least to win.) It might have been nice to see how it stood up in a tougher category. Instead, it'll have to settle for a win here, giving Pixar the trophy for the fifth consecutive year.

Best Foreign Language Film
"Biutiful"
"The Concert"
"The Edge"
"I Am Love"
"In a Better World"

The two main competitors here are "Biutiful" and "I Am Love," but the only universally praised aspect of "Biutiful" is Javier Bardem's performance, which was not nominated. Tilda Swinton wasn't nominated either, but the film is still well-regarded, pretty and doesn't involve everyone trying to kill each other.

Best Original Song -- Motion Picture
"Bound to You," "Burlesque"
"Coming Home," "Country Strong"
"I See the Light," Tangled
"There's a Place for Us," "Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader
"You Haven't Seen the Last of Me," Burlesque


The Golden Globes have been so widely mocked for their embrace of "Burlesque" that it's almost certain to come up in Ricky Gervais' opening monologue. But they have to give it something, right? So, which song? When in doubt, go with the one written by Diane Warren.

Best Original Score -- Motion Picture
Alexandre Desplot, "The King's Speech"
Danny Elfman, "Alice in Wonderland"
A.R. Rahmin, "127 Hours"
Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross, "The Social Network"
Hans Zimmer, "Inception"


The Golden Globes don't have the onerous, outdated rules for scores that the Academy Awards do, but they tend to mess this category up anyway. There's still a chance Zimmer's seminal "Inception" score will be disqualified from the Oscars for its use of Édith Piaf's "Non, Je Ne Regrette Rien," but it's difficult to imagine it being denied here.